ATSC 113 Weather for Sailing, Flying & Snow Sports


Weather Systems & Special Features

Learning Goal 9f: Describe the characteristics of extratropical cyclones, atmospheric rivers, sting jets, squall lines, waterspouts, and downbursts.


Extratropical Cyclones

Extratropical cyclones are cyclones that form outside of the tropics.   They form in mid-latitude zones, typically between 30o and 60o latitude. These Low-pressure Centers, or "Lows", are blown by the prevailing global-scale westerlies from west to east (and they often also move poleward at the same time). In winter they form every 1 to 4 days and are blown across the North Pacific Ocean and continue across Canada and then across the North Atlantic Ocean. Similar Lows blow from west to east in Southern Hemisphere mid latitudes. 

In Learning Goal 9b we saw how Lows are formed at the bottom of the atmosphere.  Mid-latitude Lows have cold cores and fronts (see Figure below), while hurricanes have warm cores but do not have fronts.


extratropical cyclones (Lows)

Source: R. Stull, 2017: Practical Meteorology. Used with permission.


Evolution

While lows are moving, they are also evolving, as shown in the figure below.  New lows are formed (a process called cyclogenesis), then they strengthen, and finally they occlude as they weaken and die (a process called cyclolysis).  An occlusion is when the cold front catches up to the warm front, creating an occluded front that has weather conditions of both warm and cold fronts.


evolution of Lows

Source: R. Stull, 2017: Practical Meteorology. Used with permission.


We have already discussed lows and fronts extensively in this course, because Lows are centers of bad weather, with surface winds circulating counterclockwise around them.  Flying Learning Goal 3h has a thorough discussion of lows and fronts.  For Snow Sports applications, Lows were further described in Goals 5d and 5m, and Frontal weather was described in Learning goals 5f - 5h. Additional info on Fronts and frontal weather and clouds were introduced in flying Learning Goals 1a and 2e (Synoptic-scale wind shear).


Many Scales of Weather

Weather has many sizes (horizontal scales) superimposed on each other.  Often the larger size features have weaker winds.

  Large (planetary) scale: For example, in the figure below, the dashed yellow line represents the circulation around the large-scale Hawaiian High that spans the whole North Pacific Ocean (10,000  km in diameter).  This is a weak, but persistant circulation that helps to steer typhoons (tropical cyclones) and Lows (extratropical cyclones).

  Medium-large (synoptic) scale: Typhoons (hurricane symbol) and Lows (L) have stronger winds, but are smaller in diameter (100 - 2,000 km).  High-pressure centers are also synoptic scale, even though they have weak winds and fair weather.  Winds around these synoptic systems are shown with the black curved arrows.

  Medium (mesoscale): The width of frontal zones, particularly cold fronts, is of order 10 - 100 km in diameter.  For extratropical cyclones, this is where the strongest winds are.

  Medium-small: Embedded in cold fronts are thunderstorms (as suggested by the red stars in the figure below).  These have even stronger winds (horizontal and vertical), but are roughly 8 - 15 km in diameter.  Thunderstorms are also in typhoons and hurricanes (not sketched in the figure below).

  Small-scale: Much of the turbulence we have discussed in the flying modules are at the small scale (0.01 - 3 km).  Tornado and downburst diameters are also in this range, and these features have extremely strong winds.


scales of motion

Sketch of the Northern Hemisphere over the Pacific Ocean.  Shown are global-scale circulations: trade winds (white arrows), westerlies (black double-line arrow), Hawaiian High (yellow dashed arrows).  Also shown in mid-latitudes are synoptic-scale highs (H) and lows (L) and their associated fronts and winds. In low latitudes are typhoons. Adapted from R. Stull, 2017: Practical Meteorology.


These scales are relevant to sailors because at any instant in time, the weather you face can be a combination of many of these scales.  Also, the features of these scales (e.g., fronts, lows, hurricanes) are continuously shifting and moving.  That is why it is extremely important for sailors to look at current weather maps to see the actual conditions, and to look at forecasts to see an approximation of how all of these weather features will move and evolve in the future.

We will return to "scales of weather" in the last theme of this course: Applied Meteorology.

Lows vs. British Columbia

For British Columbia, most of our Lows come from the west, over the Pacific Ocean enroute to the BC coast.  Many of these lows form over the warm waters of the Kuroshio current in the western Pacific.  As the lows move across the Pacific they reach maximum strength at about the date line (180 degree longitude), and begin to occlude and die as they approach the Gulf of Alaska and British Columbia.  This brings widespread overcast clouds and drizzle during winter to the west coast of British Columbia.  Typical evolution of these lows is shown in the figure below.


lows aproaching BC coast

Fronts are indicated in black.  Clouds are shaded grey.  The atmospheric river of fast humid winds are shown with the arrows.  L = low-pressure center.  H = high-pressure center.  Adapted from R. Stull, 2017: Practical Meteorology.


Low L1 in the figure above has just started to occlude south of the Aleutian Islands of Alaska, while low L2 is well occluded, as indicated by the spiral band of clouds around the low center in the Gulf of Alsaka.  In this sketch, the arrows that are circled by the dashed line indicate an Atmospheric River, in which lots of humid air streams rapidly toward the mountains (m) of British Columbia.  This causes extensive heavy rain and flooding.


Sting Jets

Sting jets are a rare phenomenon that can be produced by specific type of extratropical cyclone in which the warm and cold fronts never meet. The sting jet forms as strong winds start to descend towards the ground, drying and evaporating as they fall, allowing them to become denser and faster just east of the Low center. The sting jet strikes a relatively small area on the ground (shaded green in the first figure below), but leaves immense devastation in its wake.

The first great sting jet observed was during the Great Storm of 1987 in southern England. It was because of the damage caused by this storm that scientists started looking into this phenomenon.  Below is a sketch, and a satellite photo, of a sting jet.  Sting jets can cause extremely dangerous winds for sailors.


sting jet

Adapted from R. Stull, 2017: Practical Meteorology.



Sting jets

Satellite image of a Sting Jet hitting northern UK.  Source: www.weatherclub.co.uk


Squall Lines

A squall line is a long chain of thunderstorms that forms along, or ahead of, a cold front.  Although they can be long (1000s of km), they are not often very wide (10 - 15 km). They produce heavy rain, thunder and lightning.

These squall lines are a major hazard to sailors.  In addition to dangerous lightning, strong gusty winds, downbursts, and tornadoes/waterspouts, these lines advance very quickly across the water.

The first image below is a composite of weather radar returns from across the USA.  The squall line is the narrow band of red colour (indicating very heavy rain in thunderstorms) from Iowa to Texas.

Squalllines

Source: National Weather Service - http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/Loop/NatLoop.gif, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=4171245


The next image is a closer view of a more-recent squall line, in roughly the same part of the USA.  Again, this composite image from many radars shows the squall line as a narrow, but long line of thunderstorms with heavy rain (the red color in this image).  Although these two squall-line images are over land, similar squall-lines of hazardous weather can occur over the ocean, but too far away to be seen by land-based weather radars.


2018 squall line

Squall line of heavy thunderstorms (yellow and red colors) in a long but narrow line spanning Iowa in the north through Missouri in the south. Source: National Weather Service. 4 Dec 2018.

Waterspouts

A waterspout is a spiralling column of air and cloud droplets and sea-spray that develops over water beneath a cumuliform or cumulonimbus cloud. (A waterspout is mostly air, made visible by the tiny water droplets carried by the air.  A waterspout is NOT a column of water being sucked up from the ocean.) There are two types of waterspouts: tornadic and fair weather.

Tornadic waterspouts tend to start as tornadoes overland and then migrate out to sea, or form over the sea in the same way as land tornadoes do (namely, formed by supercell thunderstorms). Waterspouts typically form from the thunderstorm clouds downward. They are associated with thunderstorms and severe weather.

Fair weather waterspouts are more common. They start to form on the water’s surface and work their way up towards the clouds. They start as a dark patch on the water’s surface that begins to spiral. Then a ring of spray will start to pick up around the dark patch of water and gradually start to rise and take on the shape of a cylinder.  Nonetheless, the fast and shifting winds near the bottom of fair weather waterspouts can capsize sailboats.

Tornadic waterspouts can cause severe damage to boats and you should keep your distance if you see one forming.

Waterspout Waterspout


Downbursts

A downburst is a rapidly descending column of air that hits the earth or ocean surface and radiates rapidly outwards, as sketched below. When the downburst air hits the ground, the air spreads out in straight lines away from the downburst. Downbursts form during thunderstorms. They tend to be relatively small in area, in which case they are known as microbursts, however larger macrobursts can also occur. They produce straight-line winds, which are very powerful and can cause significant damage and can easily capsize sailboats.   See more downburst info from Flying-weather learning goal 4b(d).

It is believed that a microburst hit and sank the SV Concordia, a training vessel for students, when it was sailing off the coast of Brazil. In 15 seconds, the 57-meter vessel had capsized onto its side before sinking twenty minutes later (see news article in ‘Additional Resources’ below).

Downburst

Source: Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2562378


Additional Resources: (non-required material)

Wikipedia – Extratropical Cyclone: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extratropical_cyclone

Sting Jet Newspaper Article: https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2012/oct/16/sting-jets-hurricane-michael-fish

Microburst sank Canadian sailing-school ship, meteorologist says: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/microburst-sank-canadian-sailing-school-ship-meteorologist-says/article1366514/

Video: (non-required material)

What not to do. Man goes into waterspout off Florida coast: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/10340008/Man-sails-into-centre-of-waterspout-off-Florida-coast.html


Keywords: extratropical cyclone, cyclone, low, cyclogenesis, cyclolysis, occlusion, atmospheric river, front, westerlies, sting jet, warm front, cold front, squall line, waterspout, downburst, planetary scale, synoptic scale, mesoscale


Image credits: are given near the images.